Columns

The Higher-Order Effects of Negotiating with Hamas

OPINION — In 2011, after five and a half years in captivity and complex negotiations involving an Israeli activist, Israeli government officials, and outside foreign […] More

Briefs & Analysis

Deciphering Hamas’s Web of Support

CIPHER BRIEF REPORTING – Nearly two weeks after Hamas militants invaded Israel, targeting, kidnapping and killing civilians in a bloody massacre, questions remain around just […] More

Columns

A Crisis Call for Intelligence Prioritization

EXPERT PERSPECTIVE / OPINION — Intelligence agencies are a country’s first line of defense, and this means the stakes surrounding their actions are always high. […] More

Columns

More than Merely an Intelligence Failure

OPINION — For national security and intelligence experts, one question continually resonates: how could Israel’s highly regarded intelligence infrastructure not predict and warn of Hamas’s […] More

Columns

Intelligence Overshadowed: Israel’s Grand Strategy in the Face of Hamas’s Unexpected Assault

OPINION — The history of intelligence in the modern era is closely intertwined with failures of early warnings and unexpected strategic events. These include the […] More

Book Reviews

Reviewing the Roots of the Middle East Conflict

BOOK REVIEW: PALESTINE 1936: THE GREAT REVOLT AND THE ROOTS OF THE MIDDLE EAST CONFLICT By Oren Kessler / Rowman & Littlefield Publishers Reviewed by […] More

Columns

Hamas and Israel: Another Colossal Intelligence Failure

OPINION — Hamas’s surprise attack on Israel this morning Saturday October 7, 50 years plus one day since the October 1973 war, has every national […] More

Columns

The Elusive Silver Bullet of Democracy

OPINION — According to a White House statement last March, “President Biden has called the struggle to bolster democratic governance at home and abroad the […] More

Briefs & Analysis

What’s at Stake in Biden’s Push toward Saudi-Israeli Normalization?

SUBSCRIBER+EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW — The Biden administration is reportedly taking serious steps to push forward with efforts to negotiate a deal that would see official diplomatic […] More

Columns

Netanyahu: Israel’s Renowned Statesman Lost on the International Stage

OPINION — Over the course of his many decades in Israeli politics, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu earned a reputation as Israel’s premier statesman and the country’s most savvy politician. […] More

Columns

Measuring the Strength of the U.S. – Israel Relationship in Dollars

OPINION — “We believe that U.S. security aid must be used only to address to Israel’s genuine defense needs, and not to help implement or […] More

Columns

How Iran Makes Israel Protector of the Palestinian People

OPINION — Iran openly proclaims its goal of eliminating Israel. Maj. Gen. Abdolrahim Mousavi, commander of the Iranian Army, stated that Iranian forces are working […] More

Briefs & Analysis

Dynamics in the Middle East are Shifting, but in which Direction?

The dynamics of the Middle East are changing. From a protracted pandemic to a rise in Chinese interest and influence in the region and a […] More

Columns

As the U.S. Draws Down Troops in Afghanistan, It’s Quietly Building Up in Other Places

Pulitzer Prize Winning Journalist Walter Pincus is a contributing senior national security columnist at The Cipher Brief. He spent forty years at The Washington Post, writing on […] More

Briefs & Analysis

How the Middle East Conflict Leads Back to US National Security

In the Biden Administration’s highest-level face-to-face visit, Secretary of State Antony Blinken is traveling to the Middle East to seize momentum created by last week’s […] More

Columns

Netanyahu’s Obsession and the Palestinian Uprising

Cipher Brief Expert Emile Nakhleh is a retired CIA Senior Intelligence Service Officer and founding director of the CIA’s Political Islam Strategic Analysis Program Office. […] More

Briefs & Analysis

President Biden’s Middle East: A Briefing with Norman Roule

President Joe Biden’s administration is aiming its Middle East agenda on adhering to campaign promises, examining current policies and undoing some that were enacted under […] More

Briefs & Analysis

Through an Israeli Lens: Biden and Iran

Eldad Shavit, Sr. Researcher, INSS Eldad Shavit is a senior researcher at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) and previously served in senior roles […] More

Columns

What a Biden Administration Means for the World

The Cipher Brief is a non-political media outlet focused on publishing expert perspectives on national security issues. We are committed to presenting multiple opinions to […] More

Columns

How Will a Biden Administration Engage the Middle East?

The Cipher Brief is a non-political media outlet focused on publishing expert perspectives on national security issues. We are committed to presenting multiple opinions to […] More

Columns

Amid Normalization with Israel, Sudan’s Future Hangs in the Balance

Gary Grappo is a former U.S. ambassador who held senior positions including Minister Counselor for Political Affairs at the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad; U.S. Ambassador […] More

Columns

What Follows Bahrain’s Normalization of Relations with Israel?

Cipher Brief Expert Emile Nakhleh is a retired CIA Senior Intelligence Service Officer and founding director of the CIA’s Political Islam Strategic Analysis Program Office. […] More

Columns

UAE-Israel deal serves bilateral relations, not larger issues

Cipher Brief Expert  Emile Nakhleh is a retired CIA Senior Intelligence Service Officer and founding director of the CIA’s Political Islam Strategic Analysis Program Office. Nakhleh […] More

Columns

A Raw Deal for the Palestinians

Cipher Brief Expert Marc Polymeropoulos served 26 years in the CIA before retiring from the Senior Intelligence Service in June 2019.  His positions included field […] More

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