Recent Posts

Read comment and analysis on international affairs from Madain experts and guest writers.
November 29, 2023
Deciphering Quds Force Chief Qaani’s Words

Brigadier General Ismail Qaani used to be a man of few words, but that changed January 3, 2020, when he replaced Major General Qassim Suleimani as chief of the extraterritorial operations Quds Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Like his predecessor, Qaani has since mobilized the Persian language against Iran’s enemies, but to what

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November 17, 2023
Can Iran Sustain Its Oil and Gas Export Surge?

The second-biggest source of additional oil production after the United States in 2023 might come as a surprise – not Russia, Saudi Arabia, the new hotspot of Guyana, or recently unsanctioned Venezuela but Iran. Or maybe, as one of the world’s oldest oil powers, Iran’s prominence should be expected. Either way, Iran’s oil resurgence, and

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November 8, 2023
The Houthi War on Israel

On at least three occasions, over the span of two weeks in late October, the Houthis launched missiles and drones at Israel. The first time, on October 19, the USS Carney, which was patrolling in the Red Sea, shot down cruise missiles and drones from Yemen. On October 28, Israel blamed the Houthis for an

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October 27, 2023
For Now, Iran and Hezbollah Court Trouble but Avoid It

Unofficial and official mouthpieces of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and Iran’s Supreme National Security Council have joined forces in a difficult task. They are attempting to build a heroic public image of Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah and declare Iran the center of resistance to Israel but also free Nasrallah of the obligation to

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October 26, 2023
Saudi Arabia Pushes Ahead to Become a Global Mining Player

Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 reform agenda has elevated the mining sector’s role in the Saudi economy, positioning it as a third key economic pillar as part of the National Industrial Development and Logistics Program. The kingdom’s focus on mining is driven by a desire to diversify the economy and increase non-oil revenue as it weans

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October 25, 2023
The Viability of a Partitioned Yemen: Challenges to a Houthi State

Over the past year and a half, the war in Yemen has turned into a low-intensity conflict, punctuated by periodic clashes that have done little to alter the lines of control. In the northern highlands, the Houthis – a Zaydi Shia militia group – maintain control, much as they have since taking the capital of

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October 20, 2023
Baghdad Squeezes Kurdistan Region on Legal and Economic Fronts, Prompting Crisis

On September 25, the Kurdistan region of Iraq commemorated the sixth anniversary of its independence referendum. The historic vote came at the pinnacle of Kurdish political, military, and diplomatic power in 2017. However, the audacious move toward independence led to a sequence of profound reversals for Iraq’s Kurdish region, including the loss of 40% of

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October 17, 2023
النظام في طهران عرضة للخطر ولكنه ليس على فراش الموت

ادعم منشورات معهد دول الخليج العربية في واشنطن باللغة العربية تبرع اليوم لمساعدة المعهد في توسيع نطاق تحليلاته المنشورة باللغة العربية. تبرع توقع رضا بهلوي، ولي العهد الإيراني السابق، في الأول من يناير/كانون الثاني أن “عام 2023 سيكون عام النصر للأمة الإيرانية وعام تحقيق الحرية والعدالة في إيران”. وفي ردّ لها، كتبت جريدة “صبح صادق”

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October 16, 2023
The Hamas-Israel Conflict May Upend Saudi and U.S. Calculations

Hamas’ ruthless and audacious killing spree in southern Israel, which is provoking the Israeli wrath it sought, has frozen Washington’s efforts to craft a triangular deal with Saudi Arabia and Israel predicated on the two states normalizing diplomatic relations. From a Saudi perspective, negotiations cannot proceed because this upheaval involves too many open-ended questions. It

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October 16, 2023
صراع حماس وإسرائيل قد يقلب الحسابات السعودية والأمريكية رأسًا على عقب

أدت موجة القتل الشرسة والجريئة التي شنتها حركة حماس في جنوب إسرائيل، والتي تثير الغضب الإسرائيلي الذي كانت الحركة تسعى إليه، إلى تجميد جهود واشنطن في صياغة اتفاق ثلاثي مع المملكة العربية السعودية وإسرائيل يقوم على تطبيع العلاقات الدبلوماسية بين الدولتين. من منظور السعودية، لا يمكن الاستمرار في المفاوضات لأن هذه الاضطرابات تنطوي على الكثير

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