Recent Posts

Read comment and analysis on international affairs from Madain experts and guest writers.
October 27, 2023
What Happens to Gaza If Hamas Is Actually Defeated?

Judging by the disastrous aftermath of the regime-change wars in Iraq and Libya, it is never too early to plan for the day after Israel decimates Hamas in Gaza. On Sunday, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said Gaza “can’t go back to the status quo with Hamas being in a position, in terms of its governance of Gaza, to repeat what

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October 26, 2023
Iran FM in the US as proxies plot multi-front war – analysis

Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian arrived in New York as Iranian proxy groups increased their threats to the US and Israel. This attempt to conduct two types of war at the same time, the diplomatic war and the war on the ground, is part of Iran’s overall strategy in the region. It has been this way

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October 26, 2023
Israel conducts first large scale tank raid into Gaza, repairs fence

The Israel Defense Force conducted its first large raid into the Gaza Strip overnight between Wednesday and Thursday. The Givati brigade, which has been training for specialized urban warfare over the last week, led the assault. The raid included tanks and vehicles, as well as armored D-9 bulldozers which opened a path through a berm on the border.  “During

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October 26, 2023
U.S. Intel Confident Israel Did Not Attack Gaza Hospital

Latest Developments U.S. intelligence officials said on October 24 they have determined with “high confidence” that Israel was not responsible for the October 17 attack on al-Ahli Arab Hospital in Gaza. More than a week after the blast, likely caused by an errant Palestinian Islamic Jihad rocket, allegations of Israeli culpability continue to circulate. The

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October 26, 2023
Israel Launches Tank Raid Into Gaza to Target Terrorist Sites

Latest Developments The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) launched its first major ground operation in the Gaza Strip on October 26. The IDF used tanks in an overnight raid that included dismantling terrorist infrastructure and striking anti-tank missile launch posts. Israeli forces withdrew from Gaza after the incursion. This is the first time Israel has publicly

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October 26, 2023
Hamas overplayed their hand

Israel massively misjudged Hamas, resulting in the brutal murder of over 1,400 Israelis. But Hamas also gravely miscalculated. It underestimated Western outrage at the atrocities committed by the Iran-backed terror group, as well as Israel’s capacity for disciplined restraint, striking back at a time of its choosing rather than rushing into Gaza half-cocked. On Oct.

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October 26, 2023
Iran-backed Iraqi militia says it is ‘ready for a war of attrition,’ called Israel its ‘enemy’

Hezbollah Brigades, an Iranian proxy that operates a powerful militia primarily in Iraq but also in Syria, said it is “ready for a war of attrition that may extend for years,” and described Israel, which is at war with Hamas in Gaza, as its “enemy.” “The Iraqi people affirm that they stand at the forefront

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October 26, 2023
Israel May Tread Carefully With a Two-Front War Threat

Israel has prepared for the possibility of a multi-front war for a decade. Historically, Israel has faced off against threats from the north and south. In 1967 and 1973, it defeated large conventional armies fielded by Syria and Egypt. Today, as Israel fights Hamas in the wake of a massive attack on Oct. 7 that

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October 26, 2023
Blood Money: Stopping the Cash That Underwrites Terror

Terrorism fundamentally depends on two things: violence and money. None of its violence, like Hamas’ massacre of Israelis, happens without the funding to make it possible. Some of that money comes from state-sponsors of terrorism, such as Iran’s direct sponsorship of Hamas and Hezbollah. But money also comes from “charity” fundraising or other payments, made through traditional

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October 26, 2023
U.S. Warns Iran Not to Engulf Mideast in War

Latest Developments Speaking before the United Nations Security Council on Tuesday, Secretary of State Antony Blinken told members that if they “want to prevent this conflict from spreading, tell Iran, tell its proxies … do not open another front against Israel in this conflict; do not attack Israel’s partners.” The same day, White House National

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